Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.475351 0.543454 0.616931 0.701982 0.797602 0.901658 1.023346
2025-05-11 0.368015 0.459910 0.567116 0.700937 0.862983 1.052306 1.289669
2025-05-18 0.290290 0.394279 0.524716 0.699176 0.925076 1.206230 1.580977
2025-05-25 0.234329 0.344220 0.491710 0.701946 0.991297 1.372493 1.909024
2025-06-01 0.193592 0.306108 0.466956 0.710088 1.063833 1.554357 2.279144
2025-06-08 0.158444 0.268841 0.436415 0.704088 1.114204 1.710369 2.631216
2025-06-15 0.135993 0.246304 0.423227 0.720375 1.197339 1.920478 3.082187
2025-06-22 0.113168 0.218548 0.396902 0.711356 1.239127 2.071953 3.460389
2025-06-29 0.098062 0.201020 0.384151 0.721704 1.311654 2.276748 3.939932
2025-07-06 0.081713 0.177907 0.357747 0.704221 1.334431 2.402398 4.303213
2025-07-13 0.073676 0.169205 0.355809 0.729464 1.433055 2.662130 4.910948
2025-07-20 0.067025 0.161984 0.355364 0.756949 1.538044 2.941620 5.576255
2025-07-27 0.059014 0.150453 0.344925 0.764279 1.607562 3.167267 6.172083
2025-08-03 0.051492 0.138486 0.331659 0.763988 1.662213 3.370931 6.746866
2025-08-10 0.044998 0.127568 0.318826 0.762627 1.714224 3.574043 7.338134
2025-08-17 0.039766 0.118637 0.308917 0.765980 1.775837 3.800569 7.992433
2025-08-24 0.035594 0.111548 0.302070 0.775029 1.850066 4.057920 8.727119
2025-08-31 0.031126 0.102636 0.289345 0.768681 1.890038 4.249621 9.347568
2025-09-07 0.028446 0.098204 0.286996 0.786423 1.984973 4.561574 10.233985
2025-09-14 0.024860 0.090227 0.274165 0.776716 2.016204 4.742388 10.865192
2025-09-21 0.022577 0.085762 0.269937 0.787970 2.097292 5.036284 11.755101
2025-09-28 0.019484 0.077880 0.254899 0.769053 2.104012 5.168054 12.309516
2025-10-05 0.018284 0.076144 0.257131 0.796422 2.226815 5.568105 13.475072